Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 7.525097 8.677658 9.907558 11.313243 12.870827 14.539352 16.457258
2025-05-18 5.699082 7.232639 8.988784 11.130752 13.654060 16.513265 19.978240
2025-05-25 4.400757 6.120371 8.224068 10.945210 14.327134 18.346317 23.434417
2025-06-01 3.515280 5.334265 7.701057 10.929469 15.134932 20.340768 27.176151
2025-06-08 2.819275 4.659858 7.200983 10.843220 15.794746 22.150052 30.764272
2025-06-15 2.473179 4.403429 7.206746 11.393789 17.286994 25.072368 35.891337
2025-06-22 2.060166 3.968483 6.889742 11.439142 18.066993 27.073082 39.892428
2025-06-29 1.626341 3.415212 6.313115 11.028195 18.144799 28.093741 42.597257
2025-07-06 1.272302 2.922278 5.753576 10.564520 18.079219 28.873130 44.965630
2025-07-13 1.152633 2.828129 5.825442 11.077087 19.477898 31.770469 50.377986
2025-07-20 1.096674 2.844855 6.082252 11.898400 21.382519 35.467034 57.044963
2025-07-27 1.025385 2.816388 6.251338 12.578469 23.092844 38.934540 63.489197
2025-08-03 0.876699 2.600988 6.065360 12.657848 23.882942 41.109275 68.206230
2025-08-10 0.708539 2.302510 5.682059 12.354620 24.028156 42.308898 71.529991
2025-08-17 0.573693 2.047045 5.344167 12.093669 24.214512 43.565178 74.968867
2025-08-24 0.479350 1.868022 5.134219 12.042029 24.738374 45.353660 79.253840
2025-08-31 0.395791 1.693188 4.905931 11.928912 25.139403 46.950931 83.284769
2025-09-07 0.368594 1.677335 5.028400 12.509905 26.790015 50.615214 90.623445
2025-09-14 0.313082 1.555683 4.889550 12.551603 27.469654 52.712420 95.560014
2025-09-21 0.242580 1.356134 4.531690 12.105460 27.225219 53.262893 98.052968
2025-09-28 0.183538 1.168802 4.168162 11.604167 26.835594 53.538219 100.093567
2025-10-05 0.171900 1.165402 4.283893 12.154322 28.465236 57.291580 107.853272
2025-10-12 0.171889 1.212384 4.541409 13.036327 30.768443 62.261341 117.703635